Bucknell
W-L: ( 4- 6) PR = 90.3181Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 225 A Pittsburgh ACC (31-25, 96.4) 3-18 310 A North Carolina ACC (54-14, 98.8) 3-13 325 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 9- 0 414 A Villanova BE (15-31, 90.3) 2-14 421 A Penn State B10 (14-38, 91.7) 7- 9 510 H Navy PAT ( 3- 5, 92.1) 16- 4 511 H Navy PAT ( 3- 5, 92.1) 6- 4 518 H Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 2-11 519 H Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 9- 5 520 H Holy Cross PAT ( 7-12, 91.1) 11-14
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
225 A Pittsburgh 3-18 -15 -7 --- -7.28
310 A North Carolina 3-13 -10 -9 -0.84
325 A Penn State 9- 0 9 -2 +++ 11.07
414 A Villanova 2-14 -12 -1 --- -11.32
421 A Penn State 7- 9 -2 -2 0.07
510 H Navy 16- 4 12 -1 +++ 13.06
511 H Navy 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.06
518 H Holy Cross 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.94
519 H Holy Cross 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.06
520 H Holy Cross 11-14 -3 0 - -2.94
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 225 A Pittsburgh 3-18 -15 -7 --- -7.28 414 A Villanova 2-14 -12 -1 --- -11.32 518 H Holy Cross 2-11 -9 0 --- -8.94 520 H Holy Cross 11-14 -3 0 - -2.94 |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 A Penn State 9- 0 9 -2 +++ 11.07 510 H Navy 16- 4 12 -1 +++ 13.06 519 H Holy Cross 9- 5 4 0 ++ 4.06 511 H Navy 6- 4 2 -1 + 3.06 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 28.92
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A Pittsburgh (31-25, 96.4) 3-18 -3.53 14.89 0.68 2.89 -4.13
3 A North Carolina (54-14, 98.8) 3-13 -1.10 17.32 0.68 2.89 -0.62
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 9- 0 -8.19 10.24 0.68 2.89 63.14
3 A Villanova (15-31, 90.3) 2-14 -9.57 8.85 0.68 2.89 -12.87
3 A Penn State (14-38, 91.7) 7- 9 -8.19 10.24 0.68 2.89 -10.86
3 H Navy ( 3- 5, 92.1) 16- 4 -7.85 10.58 -0.68 2.89 57.29
3 H Navy ( 3- 5, 92.1) 6- 4 -7.85 10.58 -0.68 2.89 57.29
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-12, 91.1) 2-11 -8.85 9.58 -0.68 2.89 -13.77
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-12, 91.1) 9- 5 -8.85 9.58 -0.68 2.89 51.50
3 H Holy Cross ( 7-12, 91.1) 11-14 -8.85 9.58 -0.68 2.89 -13.77
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173.19
|
winning pts = 229.2143 losing points = -56.0223
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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